Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Gonzaga (33-24) | 2 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 6 | -4.0 | 73% | ✘ | |
BYU (22-28) | 6 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 2 | +4.0 | 27% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Pepperdine (31-24) | 6 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 5 | -1.0 | 57% | ✔ | |
Loyola-Marymount (25-30) | 2 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | +1.0 | 43% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
San Diego (23-32) | 7 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 5 | +0.5 | 48% | ✘ | |
Pacific (22-29) | 4 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 6 | -0.5 | 52% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
San Francisco (28-30) | 6 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 3 | +2.0 | 38% | ✘ | |
Portland (23-30) | 4 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -2.0 | 62% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Saint Mary's College (31-23) | 4 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 4 | +0.5 | 52% | ✔ | |
Santa Clara (26-26) | 5 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -0.5 | 48% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 20%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 40%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 20%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 40%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.